{"id":21738,"date":"2026-04-22T16:13:52","date_gmt":"2026-04-22T13:13:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/trialoog.taltech.ee\/?p=21738"},"modified":"2026-04-22T16:13:52","modified_gmt":"2026-04-22T13:13:52","slug":"ulla-pirita-tapaninen-the-hormuz-crisis-and-the-case-for-renewables","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/trialoog.taltech.ee\/en\/ulla-pirita-tapaninen-the-hormuz-crisis-and-the-case-for-renewables\/","title":{"rendered":"Ulla Pirita Tapaninen: the Hormuz crisis and the case for renewables"},"content":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Whoever controls the world\u2019s maritime transport flows controls the world. This phrase has, over the centuries, guided everyone from Christopher Columbus and the East India Companies of the seventeenth\u2013nineteenth centuries to US President Donald Trump.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":14596,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[249],"tags":[461,831,589,492,795],"class_list":["post-21738","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-opinion","tag-geopolitics","tag-iran","tag-maritime-sector","tag-renewable-energy","tag-usa"],"acf":{"postbuilder":[{"acf_fc_layout":"text","type":"text","text":"Over the past 50 years, the importance of seaborne transport of crude oil and petroleum products has continued to grow. In 1980, oil and gas accounted for more than half of global maritime transport. At the same time, the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) was vested with considerable power in world affairs.\r\n\r\nBut the situation is changing. Today, oil\u2019s share of global maritime transport has fallen to around 16%.\r\n\r\nAlthough the world economy has broadly doubled since 2010, oil transport has remained more or less at the same level, at around two billion tonnes. Even the transport of refined petroleum products has not increased since 2019, despite the world having recovered from the pandemic.\r\n\r\nAt first glance, one might therefore conclude that, as the world slowly reduces its dependence on oil, a crisis disrupting oil exports from the Strait of Hormuz and the Persian Gulf need not be counted among the more serious threats.\r\n\r\nUnfortunately, that would be deeply misleading.\r\n

The consequences of the US attack<\/h4>\r\nThe Strait of Hormuz links the Persian Gulf to the Indian Ocean. Some of the world\u2019s most important oil and gas exporters \u2013 including Iran, Iraq, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates \u2013 have ports in the Persian Gulf which together export around a fifth of the world\u2019s fossil fuels. At its narrowest point, the strait is only about 40 kilometres wide.\r\n\r\nAt the end of February, the United States and Israel launched a military assault against Iran. In response, Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz to shipping a few days later.\r\n\r\nThis move almost immediately reduced the global availability of oil and gas, and the changed situation has already nearly doubled world market prices for these resources. Although oil from the Persian Gulf has previously been exported mainly to Asia, rising petrol and diesel prices can now be seen at pumps across the world \u2013 and prices continue to climb.","image":null,"align":""},{"acf_fc_layout":"image","image":21748},{"acf_fc_layout":"text","type":"text","text":"The International Energy Agency (IEA), concerned about oil availability and prices, has already begun drawing on its strategic oil reserves, but such a response offers only temporary relief.\r\n\r\nAmong other measures, the IEA has suggested that oil demand could be reduced through remote working, car-sharing and greater use of public transport. Yet the more serious consequences of the strait\u2019s closure now also include persistently higher interest rates, while the reduced availability of fertilisers due to gas shortages has made the world\u2019s food production system more vulnerable.\r\n

The war in Ukraine on our doorstep<\/h4>\r\nUnfortunately, rising energy prices are not the only problem for us stemming from the Hormuz crisis. Petrol prices have also risen in the United States, undermining the seemingly unshakeable popularity of President Trump.\r\n\r\nTrump has lifted US sanctions on Russian oil shipments. Russia has therefore reaped multiple economic gains: first from higher oil prices, and second from the removal of sanctions targeting its shadow fleet.\r\n\r\nUkraine is concerned that the growing profits from Russian oil trade will in turn bolster Russia\u2019s military power.\r\n\r\nThe latest twist in the Strait of Hormuz crisis must be seen in Ukraine\u2019s attacks on the oil ports of Primorsk and Ust-Luga, both extraordinarily close to our border. The attacks have been so extensive that Russia has suspended oil exports from these ports almost entirely.","image":null,"align":""},{"acf_fc_layout":"image","image":21746},{"acf_fc_layout":"text","type":"text","text":"

Alternative energy as a security measure<\/h4>\r\nIn any case, the situation is shocking. The price of fossil fuels is rising, the war in Ukraine has shifted alarmingly close to our borders, and at the same time shadow-fleet vessels are gathering in the Gulf of Finland, waiting to take on cargo from Russia\u2019s bombed ports.\r\n\r\nDependence on oil, the availability of oil and the operations of the shadow fleet all pose a threat to us.\r\n\r\nThe best guarantee for the future of efficient and energy-intensive production, heating and transport would be the full-scale adoption of alternative energy sources \u2013 solar, wind, bioenergy and nuclear power. That would, of course, require political will and technological expertise related to renewable energy sources.\r\n
\r\n

The best guarantee for the future of efficient and energy-intensive production, heating and transport would be the full-scale adoption of alternative energy sources \u2013 solar, wind, bioenergy and nuclear power.<\/p>\r\n<\/blockquote>","image":null,"align":""}],"related_authors":[{"author":14591,"position":"Tenured Full Professor at the Estonian Maritime Academy"}]},"yoast_head":"\nUlla Pirita Tapaninen: the Hormuz crisis and the case for renewables - Trialoog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The Hormuz crisis shows why fossil-fuel dependence remains a security risk \u2013 and why Estonia must go renewable.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/trialoog.taltech.ee\/en\/ulla-pirita-tapaninen-the-hormuz-crisis-and-the-case-for-renewables\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Ulla Pirita Tapaninen: the Hormuz crisis and the case for renewables - 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